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The blog
November 16, 2025
๐—œ๐—ณ ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฟ ๐—ด๐˜‚๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜„๐—ฎ๐˜†๐˜€ ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜...
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๐—ช๐—ต๐˜† ๐—ฑ๐—ผ ๐˜€๐—ผ ๐—บ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜† ๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ด๐—ผ ๐˜„๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด?

At the HR Leaders Summit in Berlin, I asked this:

โ€œIn interviews, trust your gut โ€” itโ€™s usually right.โ€
Who agrees?

The room was split.

And hereโ€™s what I shared next:

Structured interviews outperform intuition by 60%โ€“150%.
Thatโ€™s not new - weโ€™ve known it for over a century.

But that doesnโ€™t mean gut instinct is useless.
It can help - in ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜† ๐˜€๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ฐ cases.

Namely, when the interviewer is a ๐˜๐—ฟ๐˜‚๐—ฒ ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜.
And thatโ€™s rarer than most assume.

๐—ง๐—ผ ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ณ๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฒ๐˜…๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜, ๐˜†๐—ผ๐˜‚ ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐˜๐—ผ:

1. Know exactly what predicts success in the role

2. Have interviewed for it dozens of times

3. Have seen first-hand how those hires performed

If thatโ€™s not you?
Then your โ€œinstinctโ€ is probably just noise.

At Informed Decisions, we help companies:

โœ… Define the skills that actually predict success
โœ… Use structured interviews to measure them consistently
โœ… Capture gut feel - after scoring skills


Pro tip:
Donโ€™t silence your intuition - just put it at the end, and make it measurable.

Most of us trust our gut too early - and too blindly.

Have you ever tracked whether your instincts were actually right?

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